Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 12.509608 14.080097 15.884460 18.137869 20.916086 24.283878 28.763795
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 10.236072 12.044341 14.275632 17.303732 21.428965 27.057392 35.730265
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.124602 11.062629 13.574621 17.194569 22.516510 30.513997 44.565875
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.272102 10.250212 12.909349 16.921868 23.191830 33.415909 53.673576
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.678179 9.691953 12.485210 16.875148 24.129012 36.925058 65.649536
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.265923 9.328317 12.273319 17.084255 25.482721 41.550752 83.034922
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.755198 8.771751 11.708491 16.635952 25.580760 43.757825 96.264725
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.415981 8.431646 11.429077 16.605910 26.419664 47.798732 118.829898
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.991444 7.931773 10.854644 15.995009 26.013880 48.869901 132.785892
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.567932 7.406311 10.198985 15.169268 25.037667 48.270697 139.931294
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.222934 6.980396 9.672638 14.521930 24.333061 48.197729 149.993571
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.366861 7.309788 10.388461 16.213531 28.975922 64.888578 294.044945
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.289924 7.300129 10.561829 16.955876 31.828718 78.947612 537.319789
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.970442 6.883810 10.008640 16.195082 30.832318 78.874144 621.935450
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.784137 6.671900 9.794210 16.096644 31.524160 85.990463 969.257390
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.591454 6.438357 9.523947 15.849872 31.771375 91.582214 1516.099946
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.444177 6.271329 9.359677 15.807576 32.583003 100.660101 3194.380728
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.340186 6.170127 9.305954 15.996837 34.123183 115.370340 16797.339879
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.164386 5.939322 8.999196 15.590935 33.776163 119.181157 97884.148763
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.049622 5.806632 8.866028 15.563715 34.622298 131.843943 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.876113 5.566351 8.517924 15.009652 33.649943 131.139638 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.687339 5.293788 8.097581 14.259064 31.921915 123.877244 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.527662 5.066624 7.754698 13.669264 30.665657 119.752335 NaN